Speaker
Prof.
Iliyan Lilov
(Vasil Levski National Military Universiti)
Description
This paper examines a possible application of the Monte Carlo Method for the approximate estimation of the number of people subject to evacuation during disaster situations related to flooding in populated areas. The crisis scenarios are simulated using software that reproduces river overflows resulting from controlled dam releases or dam wall failures, as well as from prolonged and intense rainfall events. The proposed method may also be applied to other types of crisis situations. The results can support the planning process in crisis management and assist in forecasting the resources required for an adequate response.
Authors
Prof.
Svilen Stefanov
(Vasil Levski National Military Universiti)
Prof.
Tihomir Yotkov
(Vasil Levski National Military Universiti)
Prof.
Iliyan Lilov
(Vasil Levski National Military Universiti)
Mrs
Vanya Dimitrova
(Vasil Levski National Military Universiti)